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Predict the Winners - F.A.Q

[This FAQ might be updated as we get questions. Check back if your question has not been answered. Last updated: Aug 14, 2013]

What are the dates the prediction contest is open?

The prediction contest is currently open, and will close on Sep 1, 2013 at midnight (US Eastern Daylight Saving Time)

What's the goal behind this?

This year, our volunteer fellows and judges had to review almost four hundred proposals - a very nice and encouraging growth! It's - also - a lot more work of course. We are thinking and working on ways to make this process more efficient. As part of looking into options, we wondered... had we asked our community to rate proposals, would we get similar results? If so, perhaps in the future we can shorten our review times with your help.

Yiftach Nagar, an MIT PhD student and a member of the Climate CoLab project team is leading this research. He's happy to answer questions about this game and about the research. You can contact Yiftach at: ynagar [at| mit (dot) edu.

What's in it for me? Why should I do this?

We mainly hope you will find it interesting and fun! We're curious to know how our community members think about proposals and to what extent our collective-intelligence agrees with that of our expert judges. We thought you might also be interested to see if you can predict the judges' call.

The best evaluators will be featured on our website, and gain the community's respect. Prediction contest winners who are able to join us at the Crowd and Climate conference will also be mentioned during the conference, and my get some other perks which are not yet determined. As mentioned above, your participation will hopefully help us improve the CoLab!

How is that different from voting on the CoLab website?

By voting, you're selecting the proposal you would most like to be implemented. In this prediction game, you're selecting which proposal you think the Judges will choose, which may be different.

Do the judges see the bets?

Absolutely not. Like anyone, the judges can see "likes" and votes on the website. But bets places in this prediction game will not revealed to the judges until after all winners are announced.

How are winners of these prediction games determined?

Predicting the Grand Prize Winner: whoever bet the most points on the winning proposal is announced winner of that game. That means there may be multiple winners. In the unlikely case that nobody bet any points on the Grand Prize Winner, then we'll have no winner.

Predicting Judges' Choice Award Winners in contests: in each contest, whoever bet the most points on the winning proposal is announced a winner of that game. That means there may be multiple winners. In the unlikely case that nobody bet any points on the Judges' Choice Award, then we'll have no winner. In addition, if you bet on several contests, you might win even if you did not bet the most points on a single winner. How does that work? Some people might only be interested in predicting the winner of one, or a few contests. Others might be interested in predicting the winners in more contests. We will count the total points you put on winners in multiple contests, and if that's the highest, you win too.

I have more questions. Who can I ask?

contact Yiftach Nagar: ynagar [at| mit (dot) edu.